Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.020683 0.026496 0.034415 0.046445 0.065161 0.094980 0.150660
2024-12-29 0.014213 0.020127 0.029527 0.046951 0.082529 0.165509 0.450440
2025-01-05 0.010728 0.016028 0.025204 0.044387 0.091467 0.240543 1.244911
2025-01-12 0.008785 0.013648 0.022624 0.043260 0.102586 0.357581 5.107631
2025-01-19 0.007847 0.012684 0.022228 0.046578 0.131107 0.693306 679.901162
2025-01-26 0.007296 0.012258 0.022723 0.052508 0.181259 1.841618 NaN
2025-02-02 0.006833 0.011876 0.023161 0.058784 0.252868 7.366277 NaN
2025-02-09 0.006177 0.010953 0.022030 0.059340 0.297885 29.488709 NaN
2025-02-16 0.005647 0.010193 0.021084 0.060059 0.352931 524.916178 NaN
2025-02-23 0.005182 0.009494 0.020109 0.060144 0.409981 NaN NaN
2025-03-02 0.004666 0.008603 0.018413 0.056284 0.411538 NaN NaN
2025-03-09 0.004336 0.008091 0.017656 0.056243 0.473015 NaN NaN
2025-03-16 0.004038 0.007662 0.017194 0.058244 0.615246 NaN NaN
2025-03-23 0.003735 0.007187 0.016503 0.058906 0.772082 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 0.003390 0.006558 0.015198 0.055409 0.797873 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 0.003131 0.006103 0.014330 0.053880 0.896690 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 0.003010 0.005970 0.014445 0.058395 1.425942 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 0.002945 0.005966 0.014984 0.066563 3.030747 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 0.002876 0.005941 0.015454 0.075339 7.951163 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 0.002723 0.005672 0.014980 0.076123 13.232259 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 0.002588 0.005433 0.014563 0.077139 25.111779 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 0.002457 0.005193 0.014089 0.077259 49.779415 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 0.002293 0.004844 0.013130 0.071828 43.828087 NaN NaN